欢迎进入币游官网(币游国际官网),币游官网:www.9cx.net开放币游网址访问、币游会员注册、币游代理申请、币游电脑客户端、币游手机版下载等业务。

首页社会正文

新加坡博彩公司:External factors to play big role in GDP growth

admin2022-08-253

皇冠手机管理端www.hg9988.vip)是一个开放皇冠手机管理端即时比分、皇冠手机网址代理最新登录线路、皇冠手机网址会员最新登录线路、皇冠网址代理APP下载、皇冠网址会员APP下载、皇冠网址线路APP下载、皇冠网址电脑版下载、皇冠网址手机版下载的皇冠新现金网平台。

HELP University economist Paolo Casadio believes the prevailing global economic challenges and uncertainties will disrupt the recovery trajectory in Malaysia and other countries around the world.

KUALA LUMPUR: Economists are cautious about the outlook of the economy in the second half of 2022, in light of enduring challenges such as the Russia-Ukraine war, soaring inflation, supply chain disruptions and the weaker ringgit.

HELP University economist Paolo Casadio believes the prevailing global economic challenges and uncertainties will disrupt the recovery trajectory in Malaysia and other countries around the world.

“We estimate Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate for 2022 to be 3.5% in the baseline scenario (50% probability), implying an economic contraction in the second and third quarters of this year,” he told StarBiz.

Casadio noted that the slowdown of China during the second quarter of the year already had a significant impact on exports. This, he said, will result in a contraction of growth on a quarterly basis.

“In a risk scenario (40% probability), considering a ‘catastrophe’ happening in the international economic and financial system, we consider another contraction happening in the third quarter and probably in the fourth quarter as well, resulting in a full-blown recession. This will not affect Malaysia only, but it will be worldwide.”

In predicting Malaysia’s GDP outlook for the second half of 2022, Malaysia University of Science and Technology professor Geoffrey Williams forecasts three types of scenarios.

,

新加坡博彩公司www.99cx.vip)是一个开放皇冠体育网址代理APP下载、皇冠体育网址会员APP下载、皇冠体育网址线路APP下载、皇冠体育网址登录APP下载的官方平台。新加坡博彩公司上最新新加坡博彩公司登录线路、新加坡博彩公司代理网址更新最快。新加坡博彩公司开放皇冠官方会员注册、皇冠官方代理开户等业务。

,

In predicting Malaysia’s GDP outlook for the second half of 2022, Malaysia University of Science and Technology professor Geoffrey Williams forecasts three types of scenarios.

“The upside scenario is where GDP is expected to grow 5% this year, as forecast by the government and Bank Negara. This is based on the assumption that everything will go smoothly and converge to a pre-pandemic scenario.

“We believe there is a 10% probability of this scenario occurring.”

In a baseline scenario (with a 50% probability), Williams said there could be “some persisting international factors” that would result in a downward revision of growth in main parts of the world.

Finally, in a downside scenario (40% probability), Williams cautioned that this could be some “catastrophe” affecting the international economy.

“The catastrophic events can be many – geopolitical, with an extension of the war, financial, with a stock market or a dollar crash, political turmoil especially in the United States before the mid-term elections or economic, with a full-blown recession in some European countries.”

网友评论

最新评论